Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | ACU -400 SHSU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +14 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | ACU -10.8 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -8.9 (+5.1) | 145.0 (+13.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -9.9 (+4.1) | 143.0 (+15.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -10.2 (+3.8) | 142.6 (+15.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -9.2 (+4.8) | 143.4 (+14.6) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2023 | SHSU 72 – 54 ACU |
| Feb 12, 2023 | SHSU 77 – 62 ACU |
| Feb 18, 2022 | SHSU 75 – 71 ACU |
| Jan 9, 2022 | SHSU 65 – 63 ACU |
| Jan 21, 2021 | SHSU 64 – 57 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-5 | 19-9 |
| Conference | 13-2 | 13-3 |
| Home | 13-0 | 12-1 |
| Away | 5-4 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.6 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#74) | -0.4 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#80) | 1.07 (#86) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#87) | 0.88 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#91) | 0.579 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.2% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.6% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.0% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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