Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +4 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -1.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -0.1 (+3.9) | 139.8 (+6.2) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -1.5 (+2.5) | 137.5 (+8.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -0.4 (+3.6) | 139.7 (+6.3) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -0.7 (+3.3) | 141.3 (+4.7) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2023 | SHSU 72 – 54 ACU |
| Feb 12, 2023 | SHSU 77 – 62 ACU |
| Jan 9, 2022 | SHSU 65 – 63 ACU |
| Feb 25, 2021 | ACU 86 – 72 SHSU |
| Jan 21, 2021 | SHSU 64 – 57 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-8 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.5 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.3 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#162) | 1.8 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#173) | 0.50 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#179) | 0.63 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#145) | 0.516 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 14.1% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 28.1% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 34.5% |
Game Analysis
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