Betting Lines
| Spread | USI -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | USI -333 LIN +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USI +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | USI -9.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USI -7.1 (+2.9) | 146.8 (-8.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USI -7.3 (+2.7) | 142.7 (-4.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USI -7.0 (+3.0) | 145.2 (-7.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USI -6.5 (+3.5) | 145.7 (-7.7) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | LIN 73 – 60 USI |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIN 83 – 80 USI |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LIN 81 – 78 USI |
| Jan 17, 2025 | USI 80 – 73 LIN |
| Mar 1, 2024 | LIN 67 – 63 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-11 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#259) | -11.0 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#267) | -1.96 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#267) | -2.27 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#270) | 0.405 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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