The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
Western Athletic Conference · Redhawk Center · February 12, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SEA -1.5 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money SEA -138 / GCU +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total SEA win
Actual SEA +5 121 Won
Massey SEA -2.0 (+3.0) — —
Massey Totals — 138.1 (-17.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 67% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 67% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SEA -1.9 (+3.1) 140.2 (-19.2) 63% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SEA -1.7 (+3.3) 141.2 (-20.2) 67% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SEA -2.1 (+2.9) 141.2 (-20.2) 61% ✓
Baseline ML SEA -1.0 (+4.0) 140.3 (-19.3) 58% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 2, 2025 GCU 63 – 60 SEA
Jan 31, 2025 GCU 83 – 74 SEA
Mar 16, 2024 GCU 80 – 72 SEA
Feb 2, 2024 GCU 95 – 88 SEA
Jan 21, 2024 SEA 86 – 79 GCU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SEA GCU
Overall 20-12 24-12
Conference 11-7 11-7
Home 12-2 14-4
Away 7-7 6-5
Neutral 1-3 5-3
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.3 72.2
Avg Pts Against 70.0 69.1
Massey 2.2 (#129) 3.7 (#114)
Bradley-Terry 0.84 (#101) 0.75 (#106)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.77 (#114) 0.80 (#111)
RPI 0.542 (#99) 0.538 (#108)
Shooting & Four Factors SEA GCU
FG% 40.2% 43.6%
3PT% 31.3% 35.2%
REB / G 37.1 36.0
OREB / G 11.5 10.9
AST / TO 1.04 0.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.5% 50.9%
TOV% 17.1% 19.1%
ORB% 30.3% 32.6%
FT Rate 21.2% 27.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.9% 47.4%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 16.8%
DRB% 74.2% 68.9%
Opp FT Rate 23.8% 21.7%

Game Analysis

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