Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | WEB -110 MONT +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +5 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | WEB -1.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.4 (+15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -0.1 (-5.1) | 132.9 (+10.1) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -0.1 (-5.1) | 130.6 (+12.4) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -0.7 (-5.7) | 133.4 (+9.6) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -0.3 (-5.3) | 134.7 (+8.3) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | WEB 92 – 72 MONT |
| Jan 23, 2026 | MONT 81 – 65 WEB |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MONT 65 – 58 WEB |
| Jan 17, 2025 | MONT 63 – 59 WEB |
| Jan 23, 2024 | MONT 77 – 62 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-7 |
| Home | 8-4 | 8-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#211) | 0.1 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#189) | -0.16 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#216) | -0.02 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#207) | 0.503 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 78.7% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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