Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | CLE +138 YSU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +3 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -1.1 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (+10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -1.1 (+4.1) | 148.7 (+10.3) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -0.0 (+3.0) | 146.5 (+12.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -1.1 (+4.1) | 148.9 (+10.1) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -1.6 (+4.6) | 151.0 (+8.0) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | YSU 106 – 82 CLE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | CLE 80 – 78 YSU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | YSU 56 – 54 CLE |
| Feb 16, 2025 | YSU 68 – 60 CLE |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CLE 80 – 72 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-5 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 7-9 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#184) | 4.0 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#187) | 0.51 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#179) | 0.65 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#184) | 0.525 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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