Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | CLE -170 YSU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +8 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | CLE -4.6 (-12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -3.9 (-11.9) | 140.7 (-12.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -3.7 (-11.7) | 140.4 (-12.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -4.2 (-12.2) | 142.1 (-14.1) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -4.1 (-12.1) | 141.7 (-13.7) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | YSU 106 – 82 CLE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | CLE 80 – 78 YSU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | YSU 56 – 54 CLE |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CLE 80 – 72 YSU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | CLE 82 – 70 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 13-7 |
| Home | 14-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#166) | -1.7 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#135) | -0.10 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#133) | -0.13 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#136) | 0.481 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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