Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | CLE +295 YSU -375 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +2 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -7.9 (+9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -7.0 (+9.0) | 150.4 (+7.6) | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -6.6 (+8.6) | 150.6 (+7.4) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -6.8 (+8.8) | 148.7 (+9.3) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -6.9 (+8.9) | 148.8 (+9.2) | 30% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | YSU 106 – 82 CLE |
| Mar 11, 2025 | YSU 56 – 54 CLE |
| Feb 16, 2025 | YSU 68 – 60 CLE |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CLE 80 – 72 YSU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | CLE 82 – 70 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 8-12 |
| Home | 7-8 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 88.6 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -13.5 (#345) | -2.2 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.48 (#339) | -0.84 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.11 (#340) | -1.12 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.380 (#346) | 0.443 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 60.5% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 31.7% |
Game Analysis
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