Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | YSU -210 CLE +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +8 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -5.6 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (+17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -3.0 (-11.0) | 136.9 (+15.1) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -3.4 (-11.4) | 138.2 (+13.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -3.7 (-11.7) | 136.6 (+15.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -3.4 (-11.4) | 137.8 (+14.2) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | YSU 106 – 82 CLE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | CLE 80 – 78 YSU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | YSU 56 – 54 CLE |
| Feb 16, 2025 | YSU 68 – 60 CLE |
| Mar 8, 2024 | CLE 82 – 70 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-4 |
| Away | 9-6 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 68.0 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#185) | -2.9 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#173) | 0.19 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#184) | 0.36 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#212) | 0.496 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 24.0% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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