Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | YSU -700 CLE +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +24 | 188 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -11.1 (+12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.0 (+28.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -10.8 (+13.2) | 153.6 (+34.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -8.4 (+15.6) | 153.3 (+34.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -10.6 (+13.4) | 154.9 (+33.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -10.1 (+13.9) | 154.5 (+33.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | CLE 80 – 78 YSU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | YSU 56 – 54 CLE |
| Feb 16, 2025 | YSU 68 – 60 CLE |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CLE 80 – 72 YSU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | CLE 82 – 70 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 6-14 |
| Home | 10-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 78.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 88.6 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#201) | -10.2 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#241) | -1.23 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#225) | -1.69 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#278) | 0.436 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 31.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 61.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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