Cleveland State
Vikings
54
–
56
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Barbasol Horizon League
Youngstown State
Penguins
Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | CLE -150 YSU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +2 | 110 | Lost |
| Massey | CLE -1.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (-26.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -1.9 (-3.9) | 140.0 (-30.0) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -1.7 (-3.7) | 140.0 (-30.0) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -1.4 (-3.4) | 137.5 (-27.5) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -1.6 (-3.6) | 138.8 (-28.8) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | YSU 106 – 82 CLE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | CLE 80 – 78 YSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | YSU 68 – 60 CLE |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CLE 80 – 72 YSU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | CLE 82 – 70 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 13-7 |
| Home | 14-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#171) | -2.1 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#149) | -0.07 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#143) | -0.09 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#154) | 0.484 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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