Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | YSU -700 CLE +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +12 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -8.8 (-20.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -8.2 (-20.2) | 149.6 (+2.4) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -8.0 (-20.0) | 150.3 (+1.7) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -8.2 (-20.2) | 148.4 (+3.6) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -7.9 (-19.9) | 148.6 (+3.4) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | YSU 106 – 82 CLE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | CLE 80 – 78 YSU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | YSU 56 – 54 CLE |
| Feb 16, 2025 | YSU 68 – 60 CLE |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CLE 80 – 72 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 8-7 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.4 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#122) | -2.2 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#136) | -0.16 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#133) | -0.39 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#120) | 0.511 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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