Betting Lines
| Spread | INST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UNI +138 INST -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | INST +18 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | INST -3.3 (-14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | INST -3.9 (-14.1) | 149.1 (-7.1) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | INST -1.8 (-16.2) | 146.6 (-4.6) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | INST -3.2 (-14.8) | 148.1 (-6.1) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | INST -3.5 (-14.5) | 150.0 (-8.0) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | UNI 81 – 60 INST |
| Jan 2, 2026 | UNI 75 – 66 INST |
| Feb 12, 2025 | UNI 88 – 73 INST |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UNI 74 – 56 INST |
| Mar 9, 2024 | INST 94 – 72 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | INST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 13-7 |
| Home | 8-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 78.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#201) | 5.3 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#216) | 0.32 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#206) | 0.33 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#204) | 0.514 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | INST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.