Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | DSU +400 HOW -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +1 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | HOW -4.4 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (+31.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -4.5 (+3.5) | 142.5 (+28.5) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -3.9 (+2.9) | 140.4 (+30.6) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -4.6 (+3.6) | 143.1 (+27.9) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -4.2 (+3.2) | 144.8 (+26.2) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | HOW 91 – 59 DSU |
| Jan 13, 2026 | HOW 84 – 58 DSU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | DSU 90 – 69 HOW |
| Jan 5, 2025 | HOW 100 – 94 DSU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | HOW 70 – 67 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 11-3 |
| Home | 4-8 | 12-2 |
| Away | 2-14 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -12.7 (#350) | -4.6 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#329) | -0.24 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.53 (#343) | -0.61 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#330) | 0.475 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 23.6% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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