Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | TEX -333 WVU +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +34 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -5.8 (+28.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -6.0 (+28.0) | 151.6 (+2.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -6.0 (+28.0) | 147.5 (+6.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -5.6 (+28.4) | 152.9 (+1.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -6.2 (+27.8) | 153.5 (+0.5) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2024 | TEX 94 – 58 WVU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WVU 76 – 73 TEX |
| Jan 21, 2023 | TEX 69 – 61 WVU |
| Feb 26, 2022 | TEX 82 – 81 WVU |
| Jan 1, 2022 | TEX 74 – 59 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-9 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 17-1 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 16.5 (#8) | 14.3 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.14 (#5) | 2.09 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.70 (#6) | 2.94 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#11) | 0.593 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 31.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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