Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash
Big 12 Conference · Hope Coliseum · January 21, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WVU -1.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money WVU -115 / TEX -111
Model Predictions
Spread Total WVU win
Actual TEX +8 130 Lost
Massey WVU -0.9 (-8.9)
Massey Totals 149.4 (-19.4)
Bradley-Terry 39%
Weighted B-T 54%
Efficiency Plus ML WVU -2.2 (-10.2) 144.8 (-14.8) 55%
Baseline Tuned ML WVU -1.7 (-9.7) 147.7 (-17.7) 55%
Baseline ML WVU -1.1 (-9.1) 147.4 (-17.4) 56%
Baseline Plus ML WVU -2.2 (-10.2) 149.0 (-19.0) 59%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 10, 2024 TEX 9458 WVU
Jan 13, 2024 WVU 7673 TEX
Feb 11, 2023 TEX 9460 WVU
Feb 26, 2022 TEX 8281 WVU
Jan 1, 2022 TEX 7459 WVU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WVU TEX
Overall 19-15 29-9
Conference 7-11 12-6
Home 13-4 17-1
Away 3-8 4-6
Neutral 3-3 8-2
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 76.0 78.0
Avg Pts Against 70.9 67.8
Massey 12.7 (#21) 15.4 (#9)
Bradley-Terry 1.75 (#47) 2.84 (#11)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.80 (#29) 3.40 (#13)
RPI 0.583 (#46) 0.617 (#19)
Shooting & Four Factors WVU TEX
FG% 46.9% 48.2%
3PT% 35.3% 32.8%
REB / G 34.4 36.4
OREB / G 11.2 10.6
AST / TO 1.14 1.40
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.9% 54.1%
TOV% 17.3% 16.7%
ORB% 33.8% 30.2%
FT Rate 28.8% 22.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.8% 47.9%
Opp TOV% 22.3% 23.1%
DRB% 71.6% 72.8%
Opp FT Rate 30.1% 24.3%

Game Analysis

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