Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
| Money | WVU +145 TEX -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +1 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | TEX -4.2 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.4 (+37.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -1.6 (+0.6) | 134.7 (+28.3) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -2.3 (+1.3) | 133.8 (+29.2) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -2.2 (+1.2) | 134.1 (+28.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -1.6 (+0.6) | 136.7 (+26.3) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2024 | TEX 94 – 58 WVU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WVU 76 – 73 TEX |
| Feb 11, 2023 | TEX 94 – 60 WVU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | TEX 69 – 61 WVU |
| Jan 1, 2022 | TEX 74 – 59 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-5 | 16-3 |
| Away | 1-11 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 60.6 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#67) | 15.2 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#62) | 2.66 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#57) | 3.36 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#95) | 0.575 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 24.3% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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