Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | WVU +188 TEX -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +3 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -6.7 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -6.7 (+9.7) | 140.1 (+8.9) | 24% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -6.3 (+9.3) | 141.5 (+7.5) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -6.0 (+9.0) | 141.6 (+7.4) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -7.0 (+10.0) | 140.9 (+8.1) | 25% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2024 | TEX 94 – 58 WVU |
| Feb 11, 2023 | TEX 94 – 60 WVU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | TEX 69 – 61 WVU |
| Feb 26, 2022 | TEX 82 – 81 WVU |
| Jan 1, 2022 | TEX 74 – 59 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-9 | 14-4 |
| Away | 0-9 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#177) | 10.3 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#226) | 2.00 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#197) | 2.18 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#186) | 0.573 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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