Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | TEX -1000 WVU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +36 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -13.7 (+22.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (+7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -11.7 (+24.3) | 144.5 (+7.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -11.7 (+24.3) | 144.9 (+7.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -12.8 (+23.2) | 144.8 (+7.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -11.8 (+24.2) | 144.1 (+7.9) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2024 | WVU 76 – 73 TEX |
| Feb 11, 2023 | TEX 94 – 60 WVU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | TEX 69 – 61 WVU |
| Feb 26, 2022 | TEX 82 – 81 WVU |
| Jan 1, 2022 | TEX 74 – 59 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Away | 4-6 | 0-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 12.3 (#36) | 2.0 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#52) | 0.10 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#56) | 0.37 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#61) | 0.502 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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