I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes
Big 12 Conference · Frank Erwin Center · January 1, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread TEX -8.5 Home covered
O/U 121.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEX win
Actual TEX +15 133 Won
Massey TEX -9.7 (+5.3) — —
Massey Totals — 112.8 (+20.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 49% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 57% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML TEX -5.6 (+9.4) 122.8 (+10.2) 70% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ TEX -8.3 (+6.7) 127.3 (+5.7) 75% ✓
Baseline Plus ML TEX -7.0 (+8.0) 125.9 (+7.1) 79% ✓
Baseline ML TEX -6.7 (+8.3) 124.7 (+8.3) 75% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 10, 2024 TEX 94 – 58 WVU
Jan 13, 2024 WVU 76 – 73 TEX
Feb 11, 2023 TEX 94 – 60 WVU
Jan 21, 2023 TEX 69 – 61 WVU
Feb 26, 2022 TEX 82 – 81 WVU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEX WVU
Overall 22-12 16-17
Conference 10-8 4-14
Home 16-3 12-5
Away 4-7 1-11
Neutral 2-2 3-1
Last 5 4-1 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.8 68.5
Avg Pts Against 60.6 69.0
Massey 14.7 (#19) 9.4 (#46)
Bradley-Terry 2.23 (#39) 3.05 (#18)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.00 (#36) 3.56 (#27)
RPI 0.562 (#75) 0.622 (#24)
Shooting & Four Factors TEX WVU
FG% 47.4% 45.0%
3PT% 33.6% 31.5%
REB / G 33.8 33.6
OREB / G 10.8 11.8
AST / TO 1.41 0.96
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.4% 50.0%
TOV% 16.8% 17.5%
ORB% 34.5% 33.5%
FT Rate 22.4% 22.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.9% 47.6%
Opp TOV% 28.5% 27.4%
DRB% 71.8% 65.7%
Opp FT Rate 16.0% 16.3%

Game Analysis

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