Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | BRWN +120 COR -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +14 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | COR -1.9 (+15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (-10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -1.3 (+15.3) | 154.1 (-8.1) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -1.2 (+15.2) | 152.7 (-6.7) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -0.7 (+14.7) | 156.0 (-10.0) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COR -1.2 (+15.2) | 157.8 (-11.8) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | COR 86 – 80 BRWN |
| Jan 19, 2026 | COR 89 – 67 BRWN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | COR 85 – 81 BRWN |
| Jan 20, 2025 | BRWN 83 – 82 COR |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BRWN 78 – 74 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 17-11 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 7-7 |
| Home | 7-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-8 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#177) | 5.1 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#190) | 0.59 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#200) | 0.88 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#173) | 0.539 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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