Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | UNF +100 STET +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +11 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | STET -2.8 (+13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (+18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STET -2.2 (+13.2) | 153.4 (+19.6) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -2.3 (+13.3) | 152.8 (+20.2) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -2.6 (+13.6) | 151.3 (+21.7) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STET -2.3 (+13.3) | 152.5 (+20.5) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | STET 76 – 71 UNF |
| Jan 30, 2026 | STET 84 – 77 UNF |
| Feb 19, 2025 | UNF 79 – 71 STET |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UNF 101 – 100 STET |
| Mar 2, 2024 | UNF 78 – 59 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-2 | 9-3 |
| Away | 3-14 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#279) | 0.3 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#230) | 0.55 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#236) | 0.61 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#220) | 0.541 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 39.0% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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