Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | UNF -500 STET +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +1 | 201 | Won |
| Massey | UNF -11.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.7 (+30.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNF -11.6 (-10.6) | 162.8 (+38.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNF -7.8 (-6.8) | 158.7 (+42.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNF -9.7 (-8.7) | 162.3 (+38.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNF -10.3 (-9.3) | 163.2 (+37.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | STET 76 – 71 UNF |
| Jan 30, 2026 | STET 84 – 77 UNF |
| Feb 19, 2025 | UNF 79 – 71 STET |
| Mar 2, 2024 | UNF 78 – 59 STET |
| Jan 5, 2024 | STET 75 – 74 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-6 | 5-9 |
| Away | 7-10 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.7 | 81.9 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#244) | -13.5 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#215) | -2.15 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#217) | -2.97 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#213) | 0.407 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 13.0% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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