I'm so tired of being lonely, I still have some love to give. "Handle With Care" - The Travelling WIlburys
Atlantic Sun Conference · Insight Credit Union Arena at Edmunds Center · February 19, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread UNF -6.5 Away covered
O/U 165.5 Under
Money STET +215 / UNF -265
Model Predictions
Spread Total STET win
Actual UNF +8 150 Lost
Massey UNF -6.0 (-2.0)
Massey Totals 170.3 (-20.3)
Bradley-Terry 22%
Weighted B-T 15%
Efficiency Plus ML UNF -5.2 (-2.8) 162.7 (-12.7) 36%
Baseline Tuned ML UNF -5.3 (-2.7) 159.9 (-9.9) 26%
Baseline ML UNF -5.5 (-2.5) 160.1 (-10.1) 29%
Baseline Plus ML UNF -4.5 (-3.5) 160.6 (-10.6) 33%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 21, 2026 STET 7671 UNF
Jan 30, 2026 STET 8477 UNF
Jan 30, 2025 UNF 101100 STET
Mar 2, 2024 UNF 7859 STET
Jan 5, 2024 STET 7574 UNF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings STET UNF
Overall 8-24 15-17
Conference 6-12 8-10
Home 5-9 8-6
Away 3-11 7-10
Neutral 0-4 0-1
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L2 L3
Avg Pts For 69.9 80.9
Avg Pts Against 81.9 85.7
Massey -14.8 (#354) -5.7 (#256)
Bradley-Terry -2.37 (#340) -0.55 (#223)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.09 (#346) -0.70 (#225)
RPI 0.397 (#340) 0.487 (#206)
Shooting & Four Factors STET UNF
FG% 43.0% 43.9%
3PT% 32.3% 34.5%
REB / G 33.0 35.2
OREB / G 8.6 11.3
AST / TO 0.80 1.41
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.0% 53.1%
TOV% 19.1% 14.8%
ORB% 25.1% 28.6%
FT Rate 24.3% 17.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.1% 54.0%
Opp TOV% 12.8% 14.7%
DRB% 65.1% 65.0%
Opp FT Rate 19.6% 23.8%

Game Analysis

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