Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Under |
| Money | STET +215 UNF -265 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +8 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | UNF -6.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.3 (-20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNF -4.5 (-3.5) | 160.6 (-10.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNF -5.2 (-2.8) | 162.7 (-12.7) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNF -5.3 (-2.7) | 159.9 (-9.9) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNF -5.5 (-2.5) | 160.1 (-10.1) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | STET 76 – 71 UNF |
| Jan 30, 2026 | STET 84 – 77 UNF |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UNF 101 – 100 STET |
| Mar 2, 2024 | UNF 78 – 59 STET |
| Jan 5, 2024 | STET 75 – 74 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-9 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-11 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.9 | 85.7 |
| Massey | -14.8 (#354) | -5.7 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.37 (#340) | -0.55 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.09 (#346) | -0.70 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.397 (#340) | 0.487 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.8% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 65.1% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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