Betting Lines
| Spread | STET -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Under |
| Money | UNF -105 STET -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +7 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | UNF -2.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.3 (-8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNF -0.0 (-7.0) | 158.6 (+2.4) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNF -2.0 (-9.0) | 157.1 (+3.9) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNF -0.4 (-7.4) | 158.3 (+2.7) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNF -0.8 (-7.8) | 159.5 (+1.5) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | STET 76 – 71 UNF |
| Feb 19, 2025 | UNF 79 – 71 STET |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UNF 101 – 100 STET |
| Mar 2, 2024 | UNF 78 – 59 STET |
| Jan 5, 2024 | STET 75 – 74 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-8 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-14 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 89.6 | 79.9 |
| Massey | -13.4 (#342) | -12.2 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.29 (#342) | -1.42 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.01 (#342) | -1.81 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#315) | 0.420 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.1% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 60.2% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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