You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Atlantic Sun Conference · UNF Arena · January 30, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread STET -1.5 Away covered
O/U 165.5 Under
Money UNF -105 / STET -115
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNF win
Actual STET +7 161 Lost
Massey UNF -2.0 (-9.0)
Massey Totals 169.3 (-8.3)
Bradley-Terry 43%
Weighted B-T 36%
Efficiency Plus ML UNF -2.0 (-9.0) 157.1 (+3.9) 62%
Baseline Tuned ML UNF -0.4 (-7.4) 158.3 (+2.7) 52%
Baseline ML UNF -0.8 (-7.8) 159.5 (+1.5) 60%
Baseline Plus ML UNF -0.0 (-7.0) 158.6 (+2.4) 62%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 21, 2026 STET 7671 UNF
Feb 19, 2025 UNF 7971 STET
Jan 30, 2025 UNF 101100 STET
Mar 2, 2024 UNF 7859 STET
Jan 5, 2024 STET 7574 UNF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNF STET
Overall 7-25 12-21
Conference 5-13 7-11
Home 5-8 9-5
Away 2-14 2-14
Neutral 0-3 1-2
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 77.1 71.9
Avg Pts Against 89.6 79.9
Massey -13.4 (#342) -12.2 (#335)
Bradley-Terry -2.29 (#342) -1.42 (#289)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.01 (#342) -1.81 (#287)
RPI 0.421 (#315) 0.420 (#316)
Shooting & Four Factors UNF STET
FG% 44.4% 42.9%
3PT% 35.9% 32.3%
REB / G 30.1 31.7
OREB / G 8.4 8.9
AST / TO 1.05 0.98
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.9% 50.1%
TOV% 18.4% 19.4%
ORB% 23.9% 25.4%
FT Rate 20.1% 23.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 58.1% 55.7%
Opp TOV% 13.2% 15.7%
DRB% 60.2% 68.0%
Opp FT Rate 23.0% 21.9%

Game Analysis

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