Betting Lines
| Spread | STET -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | STET -120 UNF +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +5 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | STET -3.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.3 (-19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STET -3.2 (+1.8) | 155.9 (-8.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -2.7 (+2.3) | 163.1 (-16.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -3.5 (+1.5) | 156.8 (-9.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STET -4.0 (+1.0) | 158.7 (-11.7) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | STET 84 – 77 UNF |
| Feb 19, 2025 | UNF 79 – 71 STET |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UNF 101 – 100 STET |
| Mar 2, 2024 | UNF 78 – 59 STET |
| Jan 5, 2024 | STET 75 – 74 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-5 | 5-8 |
| Away | 2-14 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 89.6 |
| Massey | -12.2 (#329) | -13.0 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#318) | -2.38 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.06 (#310) | -2.93 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#336) | 0.418 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 12.4% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 62.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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