Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | UNF -110 STET +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +19 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | UNF -0.1 (+18.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNF -0.2 (+18.8) | 151.3 (-14.3) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNF -0.1 (+18.9) | 149.5 (-12.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNF -0.0 (+19.0) | 151.2 (-14.2) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNF -0.1 (+18.9) | 151.1 (-14.1) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | STET 76 – 71 UNF |
| Jan 30, 2026 | STET 84 – 77 UNF |
| Feb 19, 2025 | UNF 79 – 71 STET |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UNF 101 – 100 STET |
| Jan 5, 2024 | STET 75 – 74 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 11-5 |
| Home | 11-5 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-11 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#271) | -2.3 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#248) | 0.16 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#244) | -0.17 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#268) | 0.520 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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