Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UTSA +210 UTEP -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +11 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | UTEP -4.3 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -3.7 (-7.3) | 136.0 (+7.0) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -5.8 (-5.2) | 134.9 (+8.1) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -3.1 (-7.9) | 136.2 (+6.8) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -3.7 (-7.3) | 135.4 (+7.6) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 12, 2023 | UTEP 69 – 57 UTSA |
| Jan 23, 2022 | UTEP 59 – 54 UTSA |
| Jan 21, 2022 | UTEP 69 – 64 UTSA |
| Jan 31, 2021 | UTEP 69 – 51 UTSA |
| Jan 29, 2021 | UTSA 86 – 79 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTSA | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 7-13 |
| Home | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Away | 2-11 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#317) | -0.9 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#311) | -0.18 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#312) | -0.32 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#316) | 0.488 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTSA | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 26.0% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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