Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | UTEP -163 UTSA +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +18 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | UTEP -6.8 (+11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (-35.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -5.4 (+12.6) | 150.4 (-30.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -4.2 (+13.8) | 146.9 (-26.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -4.7 (+13.3) | 148.5 (-28.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -5.1 (+12.9) | 149.1 (-29.1) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2023 | UTEP 77 – 66 UTSA |
| Jan 12, 2023 | UTEP 69 – 57 UTSA |
| Jan 23, 2022 | UTEP 59 – 54 UTSA |
| Jan 21, 2022 | UTEP 69 – 64 UTSA |
| Jan 29, 2021 | UTSA 86 – 79 UTEP |
Game Analysis
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