Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +5 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | UTEP -8.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -6.9 (+1.9) | 136.5 (-23.5) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -7.8 (+2.8) | 133.2 (-20.2) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -7.1 (+2.1) | 134.6 (-21.6) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -7.3 (+2.3) | 134.3 (-21.3) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2023 | UTEP 77 – 66 UTSA |
| Jan 12, 2023 | UTEP 69 – 57 UTSA |
| Jan 21, 2022 | UTEP 69 – 64 UTSA |
| Jan 31, 2021 | UTEP 69 – 51 UTSA |
| Jan 29, 2021 | UTSA 86 – 79 UTEP |
Game Analysis
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