Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | UTEP -600 UTSA +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +12 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | UTEP -11.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -8.3 (+3.7) | 138.2 (-12.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -9.8 (+2.2) | 138.4 (-12.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -8.3 (+3.7) | 135.4 (-9.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -8.8 (+3.2) | 137.0 (-11.0) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2023 | UTEP 77 – 66 UTSA |
| Jan 23, 2022 | UTEP 59 – 54 UTSA |
| Jan 21, 2022 | UTEP 69 – 64 UTSA |
| Jan 31, 2021 | UTEP 69 – 51 UTSA |
| Jan 29, 2021 | UTSA 86 – 79 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 4-16 |
| Home | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Away | 3-10 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#208) | -8.9 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#196) | -1.07 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#192) | -1.25 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#214) | 0.433 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 25.8% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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