Betting Lines
| Spread | UTSA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | UTSA +100 UTEP +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTSA +7 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | UTEP -3.0 (+10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTSA -0.2 (+6.8) | 149.7 (+15.3) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTSA -0.2 (+6.8) | 145.3 (+19.7) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -0.3 (+7.3) | 147.8 (+17.2) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -0.4 (+7.4) | 147.9 (+17.1) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2023 | UTEP 77 – 66 UTSA |
| Jan 12, 2023 | UTEP 69 – 57 UTSA |
| Jan 23, 2022 | UTEP 59 – 54 UTSA |
| Jan 21, 2022 | UTEP 69 – 64 UTSA |
| Jan 31, 2021 | UTEP 69 – 51 UTSA |
Game Analysis
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