Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | ELON -163 W&M +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +11 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | ELON -2.9 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (-17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -1.1 (+9.9) | 139.4 (-18.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ELON -2.3 (+8.7) | 136.8 (-15.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -1.3 (+9.7) | 139.2 (-18.2) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -1.4 (+9.6) | 140.4 (-19.4) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | W&M 72 – 62 ELON |
| Feb 14, 2026 | ELON 81 – 78 W&M |
| Jan 30, 2026 | ELON 79 – 76 W&M |
| Feb 23, 2025 | W&M 79 – 70 ELON |
| Jan 10, 2025 | W&M 78 – 65 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-9 | 11-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.8 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#323) | -8.5 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.38 (#351) | -1.12 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.74 (#347) | -1.66 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#344) | 0.463 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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