Betting Lines
| Spread | WAG -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | WAG -1600 LIU +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +12 | 104 | Won |
| Massey | WAG -17.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (-30.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -12.1 (-0.1) | 133.0 (-29.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -14.0 (-2.0) | 126.2 (-22.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -11.6 (+0.4) | 133.8 (-29.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -12.3 (-0.3) | 133.6 (-29.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | LIU 64 – 56 WAG |
| Feb 17, 2026 | LIU 83 – 65 WAG |
| Feb 13, 2026 | LIU 67 – 57 WAG |
| Feb 28, 2025 | LIU 60 – 47 WAG |
| Feb 7, 2025 | LIU 60 – 47 WAG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAG | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 3-26 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 1-15 |
| Home | 8-4 | 2-10 |
| Away | 7-9 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.3 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.3 | 81.9 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#302) | -20.9 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#281) | -4.06 (#363) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#291) | -5.06 (#363) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#265) | 0.369 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAG | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.4% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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