Betting Lines
| Spread | FDU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | FDU -188 CCSU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +4 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | FDU -4.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FDU -4.5 (-8.5) | 146.7 (+3.3) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FDU -4.0 (-8.0) | 143.4 (+6.6) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FDU -3.7 (-7.7) | 146.7 (+3.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FDU -3.7 (-7.7) | 149.0 (+1.0) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | CCSU 63 – 57 FDU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | FDU 76 – 66 CCSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CCSU 76 – 72 FDU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CCSU 87 – 66 FDU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CCSU 71 – 60 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-16 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 8-9 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#314) | -9.8 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#284) | -2.42 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#288) | -2.74 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#278) | 0.399 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 14.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.2% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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