Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | GRAM -250 TXSO +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +19 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -10.4 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (-25.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -9.0 (+10.0) | 139.1 (-28.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -8.4 (+10.6) | 136.0 (-25.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -8.7 (+10.3) | 137.4 (-26.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -8.6 (+10.4) | 138.2 (-27.2) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TXSO 82 – 79 GRAM |
| Jan 6, 2026 | GRAM 84 – 67 TXSO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TXSO 67 – 60 GRAM |
| Jan 7, 2025 | TXSO 71 – 66 GRAM |
| Mar 17, 2024 | GRAM 75 – 66 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 14-21 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-1 | 7-6 |
| Away | 9-6 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#212) | -9.0 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#171) | -1.83 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#161) | -2.40 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#202) | 0.416 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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