Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 119.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN -110 CP +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +11 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | CSUN -2.2 (+8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 117.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CP -0.1 (+11.1) | 126.4 (-9.4) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CP -1.0 (+12.0) | 121.8 (-4.8) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CP -0.2 (+11.2) | 123.4 (-6.4) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -0.2 (+10.8) | 125.1 (-8.1) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | CSUN 97 – 96 CP |
| Jan 9, 2026 | CSUN 95 – 90 CP |
| Feb 16, 2025 | CSUN 89 – 85 CP |
| Dec 8, 2024 | CSUN 102 – 91 CP |
| Feb 9, 2024 | CSUN 78 – 65 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 8-25 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 1-18 |
| Home | 7-8 | 6-11 |
| Away | 0-14 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.2 | 59.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#312) | -7.2 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.36 (#350) | -1.73 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.75 (#348) | -1.91 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.367 (#360) | 0.395 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.2% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.2% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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