Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | NWST -400 ETAM +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +8 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | NWST -10.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -10.9 (-2.9) | 145.7 (-9.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -8.1 (-0.1) | 143.7 (-7.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -11.1 (-3.1) | 144.1 (-8.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -9.7 (-1.7) | 146.2 (-10.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | ETAM 52 – 48 NWST |
| Feb 5, 2026 | ETAM 74 – 68 NWST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | ETAM 72 – 50 NWST |
| Jan 11, 2025 | NWST 75 – 67 ETAM |
| Mar 11, 2024 | ETAM 69 – 64 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-3 | 5-5 |
| Away | 10-7 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#189) | -8.0 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#123) | -1.16 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#168) | -1.73 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#113) | 0.450 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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