Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | DART +300 PRIN -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DART +7 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -7.7 (+14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (+17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -7.6 (+14.6) | 144.9 (+14.1) | 27% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -7.2 (+14.2) | 143.6 (+15.4) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -7.1 (+14.1) | 145.4 (+13.6) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -6.9 (+13.9) | 146.2 (+12.8) | 27% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PRIN 82 – 61 DART |
| Jan 19, 2026 | DART 71 – 69 PRIN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | DART 76 – 61 PRIN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | PRIN 81 – 80 DART |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PRIN 68 – 56 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-18 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 10-4 |
| Home | 7-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-11 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#282) | 5.0 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#292) | 0.63 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#315) | 1.01 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#283) | 0.543 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 78.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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