Betting Lines
| Spread | SCST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | SCST -167 COPP +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +10 | 178 | Won |
| Massey | SCST -1.6 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 173.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCST -1.1 (+8.9) | 163.2 (+14.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -1.6 (+8.4) | 159.5 (+18.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCST -0.7 (+9.3) | 164.0 (+14.0) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCST -1.4 (+8.6) | 166.6 (+11.4) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | COPP 59 – 57 SCST |
| Jan 13, 2026 | SCST 74 – 72 COPP |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SCST 68 – 63 COPP |
| Feb 18, 2025 | SCST 87 – 57 COPP |
| Jan 7, 2025 | SCST 85 – 77 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 4-10 |
| Home | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Away | 1-19 | 5-16 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.7 | 83.2 |
| Massey | -13.4 (#353) | -11.4 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.27 (#348) | -1.43 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.11 (#356) | -1.85 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.392 (#347) | 0.429 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 17.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.6% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 63.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.0% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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