Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | PORT +400 SMC -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +17 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | SMC -11.6 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -10.8 (-6.2) | 136.3 (+8.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -11.5 (-5.5) | 136.7 (+8.3) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -10.7 (-6.3) | 137.6 (+7.4) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -10.0 (-7.0) | 137.4 (+7.6) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | SMC 75 – 69 PORT |
| Jan 3, 2026 | SMC 78 – 57 PORT |
| Feb 20, 2025 | SMC 79 – 66 PORT |
| Jan 5, 2025 | SMC 81 – 58 PORT |
| Feb 11, 2024 | SMC 76 – 51 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 14-2 |
| Home | 10-6 | 16-2 |
| Away | 2-10 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 60.0 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#154) | 15.9 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#169) | 2.36 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#147) | 3.10 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#211) | 0.621 (#15) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 32.3% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 78.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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