Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | WAKE -1000 GT +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +1 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -13.4 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -11.7 (-10.7) | 147.4 (-6.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -13.0 (-12.0) | 148.1 (-7.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -11.5 (-10.5) | 148.7 (-7.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -11.5 (-10.5) | 147.2 (-6.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | WAKE 83 – 67 GT |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WAKE 69 – 43 GT |
| Mar 6, 2024 | GT 70 – 69 WAKE |
| Feb 7, 2024 | WAKE 80 – 51 GT |
| Jan 20, 2022 | WAKE 80 – 64 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-14 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#75) | -2.3 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#56) | -0.25 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#52) | -0.32 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#74) | 0.475 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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