And the sound that I'm hearing is only the sound of the low spark of high heeled boys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
Atlantic Coast Conference · LJVM Coliseum · February 11, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WAKE -12.5 Away covered
O/U 149.5 Under
Money WAKE -1000 / GT +550
Model Predictions
Spread Total WAKE win
Actual WAKE +1 141 Won
Massey WAKE -13.4 (-12.4)
Massey Totals 147.4 (-6.4)
Bradley-Terry 92%
Weighted B-T 96%
Baseline Plus ML WAKE -11.5 (-10.5) 148.7 (-7.7) 86%
Model 4 ML WAKE -13.0 (-12.0) 148.1 (-7.1) 88%
Model 3 ML WAKE -11.7 (-10.7) 147.4 (-6.4) 87%
Baseline ML WAKE -11.5 (-10.5) 147.2 (-6.2) 87%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 12, 2026 WAKE 8367 GT
Mar 8, 2025 WAKE 6943 GT
Mar 6, 2024 GT 7069 WAKE
Feb 7, 2024 WAKE 8051 GT
Jan 20, 2022 WAKE 8064 GT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WAKE GT
Overall 19-14 15-18
Conference 10-10 6-14
Home 13-3 11-6
Away 4-8 3-9
Neutral 2-3 1-3
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.6 68.7
Avg Pts Against 73.8 71.5
Massey 7.5 (#75) -2.3 (#216)
Bradley-Terry 1.60 (#56) -0.25 (#198)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.13 (#52) -0.32 (#196)
RPI 0.561 (#74) 0.475 (#228)
Shooting & Four Factors WAKE GT
FG% 46.4% 41.0%
3PT% 36.9% 31.1%
REB / G 34.8 34.8
OREB / G 8.3 10.5
AST / TO 1.11 1.15
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.4% 46.7%
TOV% 16.4% 16.8%
ORB% 24.6% 28.3%
FT Rate 26.0% 15.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.0% 49.9%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 16.3%
DRB% 74.0% 69.2%
Opp FT Rate 19.8% 21.9%

Game Analysis

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