Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | WAKE -1400 GT +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +1 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | WAKE -14.2 (-15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (-12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -11.9 (-12.9) | 147.5 (-8.5) | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -11.2 (-12.2) | 148.7 (-9.7) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -13.1 (-14.1) | 150.1 (-11.1) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -12.3 (-13.3) | 146.3 (-7.3) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | WAKE 83 – 67 GT |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WAKE 69 – 43 GT |
| Feb 7, 2024 | WAKE 80 – 51 GT |
| Feb 11, 2023 | WAKE 71 – 70 GT |
| Jan 20, 2022 | WAKE 80 – 64 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-13 |
| Home | 17-2 | 8-7 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#24) | 2.3 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#56) | 0.84 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.21 (#49) | 0.76 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#76) | 0.521 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 12.8% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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