Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +16 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | WAKE -6.2 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -6.2 (-9.8) | 142.9 (+1.1) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -3.8 (-12.2) | 144.7 (-0.7) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -5.9 (-10.1) | 145.1 (-1.1) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -6.3 (-9.7) | 143.6 (+0.4) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | WAKE 83 – 67 GT |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WAKE 69 – 43 GT |
| Mar 6, 2024 | GT 70 – 69 WAKE |
| Feb 7, 2024 | WAKE 80 – 51 GT |
| Feb 11, 2023 | WAKE 71 – 70 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-10 | 18-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 78.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#164) | 9.9 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#194) | 2.00 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#177) | 2.56 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#217) | 0.574 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.