Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Atlantic Coast Conference · McCamish Pavilion · February 12, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread WAKE -3.5 Away covered
O/U 158.5 Under
Money GT +160 / WAKE -192
Model Predictions
Spread Total GT win
Actual WAKE +16 150 Lost
Massey WAKE -4.3 (-11.7) — —
Massey Totals — 157.6 (-7.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 36% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 32% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WAKE -3.0 (-13.0) 150.0 (-0.0) 39% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WAKE -2.9 (-13.1) 153.6 (-3.6) 38% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WAKE -2.7 (-13.3) 154.3 (-4.3) 38% ✓
Baseline ML WAKE -3.1 (-12.9) 150.9 (-0.9) 38% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2025 WAKE 69 – 43 GT
Mar 6, 2024 GT 70 – 69 WAKE
Feb 7, 2024 WAKE 80 – 51 GT
Feb 11, 2023 WAKE 71 – 70 GT
Jan 20, 2022 WAKE 80 – 64 GT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GT WAKE
Overall 11-20 18-17
Conference 2-16 7-11
Home 10-9 13-7
Away 1-9 2-7
Neutral 0-2 3-3
Last 5 0-5 0-5
Streak L12 L1
Avg Pts For 73.8 78.8
Avg Pts Against 77.4 76.9
Massey 2.0 (#140) 9.3 (#64)
Bradley-Terry -0.05 (#169) 1.04 (#85)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.16 (#177) 1.18 (#92)
RPI 0.493 (#204) 0.537 (#95)
Shooting & Four Factors GT WAKE
FG% 44.9% 44.9%
3PT% 36.2% 33.8%
REB / G 38.6 33.1
OREB / G 11.0 10.6
AST / TO 1.23 1.29
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.5% 52.4%
TOV% 18.4% 15.8%
ORB% 30.9% 30.1%
FT Rate 23.8% 25.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.1% 52.3%
Opp TOV% 15.2% 19.9%
DRB% 70.4% 66.6%
Opp FT Rate 23.9% 28.6%

Game Analysis

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