Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | GT +163 WAKE -213 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +29 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | WAKE -6.1 (-22.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.3 (-24.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -4.8 (-24.2) | 149.9 (-18.9) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -5.9 (-23.1) | 150.5 (-19.5) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -6.2 (-22.8) | 153.3 (-22.3) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -5.5 (-23.5) | 152.2 (-21.2) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | WAKE 83 – 67 GT |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WAKE 69 – 43 GT |
| Mar 6, 2024 | GT 70 – 69 WAKE |
| Feb 11, 2023 | WAKE 71 – 70 GT |
| Jan 20, 2022 | WAKE 80 – 64 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 11-9 |
| Home | 8-7 | 17-2 |
| Away | 4-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 78.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#126) | 12.2 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#113) | 1.70 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#131) | 2.29 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#118) | 0.579 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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