Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | WAKE -215 GT +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +26 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -5.3 (+20.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (-28.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -7.1 (+18.9) | 143.1 (-31.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -6.6 (+19.4) | 143.6 (-31.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -5.9 (+20.1) | 145.5 (-33.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -6.0 (+20.0) | 144.7 (-32.7) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | WAKE 83 – 67 GT |
| Mar 6, 2024 | GT 70 – 69 WAKE |
| Feb 7, 2024 | WAKE 80 – 51 GT |
| Feb 11, 2023 | WAKE 71 – 70 GT |
| Jan 20, 2022 | WAKE 80 – 64 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#81) | 5.0 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#47) | 0.72 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.38 (#53) | 0.82 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#67) | 0.495 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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