Betting Lines
| Spread | ALCN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | BCU +163 ALCN -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALCN +2 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | ALCN -3.4 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALCN -3.8 (+1.8) | 143.4 (+6.6) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALCN -4.5 (+2.5) | 141.1 (+8.9) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALCN -3.6 (+1.6) | 142.3 (+7.7) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALCN -3.3 (+1.3) | 142.5 (+7.5) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | ALCN 57 – 55 BCU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | BCU 82 – 73 ALCN |
| Mar 14, 2025 | BCU 69 – 60 ALCN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | ALCN 78 – 74 BCU |
| Jan 27, 2025 | ALCN 70 – 61 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-2 |
| Away | 3-13 | 10-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -13.2 (#351) | -6.1 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#324) | -0.09 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.37 (#335) | -0.16 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.389 (#349) | 0.491 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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