Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | CCU +210 JMU -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +7 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | JMU -10.3 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (-14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -9.3 (+2.3) | 150.1 (-11.1) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -7.3 (+0.3) | 149.6 (-10.6) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -8.8 (+1.8) | 149.2 (-10.2) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -9.6 (+2.6) | 150.4 (-11.4) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CCU 69 – 68 JMU |
| Feb 19, 2026 | JMU 67 – 65 CCU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | JMU 74 – 73 CCU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | JMU 73 – 64 CCU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | JMU 86 – 76 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-8 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-11 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#295) | 7.0 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#264) | 0.54 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#284) | 1.05 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#274) | 0.529 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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