Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | CAN +550 IONA -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +21 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -10.6 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -11.3 (-9.7) | 147.5 (-8.5) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -10.2 (-10.8) | 146.3 (-7.3) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -11.3 (-9.7) | 145.8 (-6.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -11.2 (-9.8) | 145.4 (-6.4) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | IONA 69 – 63 CAN |
| Jan 11, 2026 | IONA 74 – 48 CAN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | IONA 82 – 52 CAN |
| Jan 17, 2025 | IONA 82 – 61 CAN |
| Feb 10, 2024 | CAN 73 – 69 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 17-3 |
| Home | 7-7 | 11-1 |
| Away | 3-12 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 8-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#290) | 7.6 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#334) | 0.87 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#327) | 1.12 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#296) | 0.567 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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